O Angus Reid Monitor, referência em pesquisa global, começou a seguir a sucessão no Brasil, destacando que “Serra mantém liderança, mas perde momentum”. Abrindo o texto, “O candidato conservador no Brasil está perdendo popularidade”. (Fonte Toda Mídia – Folha SP)

Serra Keeps Lead but Loses Momentum in Brazil

(Angus Reid Global Monitor) – The conservative candidate in Brazil’s race for the presidency is losing popularity, according to a poll by Instituto Sensus. 39.5 per cent of respondents would vote for Sao Paulo governor Jose Serra of the opposition Brazilian Party of Social Democracy (PSDB) in next year’s election, down 6.2 points since March.

Current government chief of staff Dilma Rousseff of the Worker’s Party (PT) is second with 19 per cent, followed by Heloisa Helena of the Socialism and Freedom Party (PSOL) with 9.7 per cent, and Marina Silva of the Green Party (PV) with 4.8 per cent.

Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva—a member of the PT—won the October 2002 presidential election with 61 per cent of the vote in a run-off against Serra. In October 2006, he earned a new four-year term, defeating PSDB candidate Geraldo Alckmin with 60.8 per cent of the vote in the second round.

On Sept. 18, Lula said he is “pleased” to see that there are no “troglodyte candidates from the right” running for office in these elections, noting that Rousseff is a former guerrilla fighter, Serra—in his youth—used to run a Catholic student group that opposed the military dictatorship, and Silva was a revolutionary communist.

Lula is ineligible for a third term in office. The first round of Brazil’s next presidential election is scheduled for Oct. 3, 2010.

Polling Data

Which of these candidates would you vote for in the next presidential election?

Source: Instituto Sensus
Methodology: Interviews with 2,000 Brazilian adults, conducted from Aug. 31 to Sept. 4, 2009. Margin of error is 3 per cent.